Programme

ONE DAY INTENSIVE COURSE PROGRAMME

  • In The First Place, Should You Trade Palm Oil?
  • Market Analysis – The Fundamental Approach –CPO & SBO
  • What Matters In The Palm Oil Market?
  • Market Analysis – The Technical Approach
  • Keys To Consistent Profitability & Timing Hedge in a Bull or Bear Market
  • Theory of Hedging; Hedging & The Basis
  • Hedging in Practice & Hedging Procedures for Exporters, Importers, Refiners & Plantations
  • Forex Hedging; Exchange-For-Physical (EFP),  Hedging Terminology. The Long & Short Hedge;  Palm Oil Fair-Value
  • Understanding Bull & Bear Traps; Short-Selling Techniques
  • Significance of Price, Volume & Open-Interest Interpretation & Analysis
  • Master & Profit From The Three Most Significant Chart Development
  • PRICE FORECAST -Understanding The Palm Oil Market Trends- What’s Next?
  • The Psychology Of Winners & Losers. Change The Way You Look At Markets and Prosper

TWO DAYS FULL COURSE PROGRAMME

FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS

  • Information sources, outside market factors. Procedure for analysis  of Crude  Palm Oil & Soyabean Oil. Understanding the Indonesian Palm Oil Producers Association (GAPKI) and Malaysian Palm Oil Board’s (MPOB) monthly output, export & stock data. Evaluation of supply/demand statistics. Interpretation of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) monthly soybean crop report and statistics.

THEORY OF HEDGING & HEDGING

  • Hedge defined. Selling & buying-hedge, Advantages of Hedging, Factors limiting full protection from hedging. The Basis & Basis Change. 

HEDGING IN PRACTICE

  • Hedger & the Basis. Hedger’s opportunity or close-out basis. Choice of futures crude palm oil markets and futures months. Hedging in a discount-market (backwardation) & premium market (contango market).

ADVANCE HEDGING PROCEDURES

  • Use of basis in a buying or selling-hedge. Hedging by producers, refiners, millers and consumers, importers & exporters. Timing a palm oil hedge in a bull or bear market.

TRADING TECHNIQUES AND MONEY & RISK MANAGEMENT

  • Procedures for crude palm oil hedgers and traders.

SEASONAL, SPREADS & STRADDLES

  • Types of Spreads, Seasonal price patterns, Trading techniques and Guidelines

FUTURES BASICS

  • Futures prices versus Spot prices; Short-selling; Interpretation of Price, Volume & open-interest; expiration of futures contract; Daily price limit, Types of trading orders and margin-calls.

TECHNICAL APPROACH TO CRUDE PALM OIL PRICE FORECASTING & TRADING

  • Technical Theories & Concepts; Keys to Consistent Profitability; Bar & Candlesticks charting; Point & Figure charting; Price projection using P&F and Moving-Average charts; Support & Resistance; Retracements & Use of protective stops;  Master & Profit From The Three Most Significant Chart Development; The Psychology of Winners & Losers.

TECHNICAL MARKET ANALYSIS

  • Trend Determination; Market cycles; Chart Patterns & Interpretation; Significance of Price, Open-Interest & Volume; Understanding Price & Volume Break-Out and Trend-line Break-Out Trading Signals; Trading Systems and Back-testing. Understanding Bull and Bear-Traps.

ADVANCED TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES

  • Moving-Averages; Price & Volume Breakout; Trend-Line Breakout, Systems, Description of Advanced Technical Techniques such as Elliot-Waves Theory, G.M. Teoh’s ESA Trend-Tracker. Oscillators & Cyclical Analysis; Soyoil VS Palm Oil;

UNDERSTANDING THE CRUDE PALM OIL MARKET TREND – WHAT’S NEXT?

CURRENCY HEDGING

  • Understanding the Currency Market Trends & Timing a Currency Hedge. (Ringgit/USD, Baht/USD and IRD/USD).

ANALYSING MONTHLY MPOB’S DATA ON CPO OUTPUT, STOCKS & EXPORTS

UNDERSTANDING SGS & ITS WEEKLY EXPORT NUMBERS

EXCHANGE-FOR-PHYSICAL (EFP) – ADVANTAGES & HOW TO DO IT

EFFECTIVE STRATEGIES FOR TRENDING & RANGE-BOUND MARKETS

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